Conditional expectation of a white noise process

citizen333

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Jan 11, 2016
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Hi all.

The problem is as follows:

Yt = εt + θ1εt−1 + θ2εt−2εt ∼ WN(0, σ2)

White noise is in the weakest form: there is no Gaussian or even iid condition, only absence of autocorrelation.

We need to find one step ahead forecast of this process: Et+1(Yt) - ?
The problem I face is that Et+1t) is unknown. Obviously it must be zero, however I don't know how to prove it. If anyone knows the proof please help.

Thanks in advance.
 
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